# Appendix C: Data volume worksheet

> Four numbers from your team and the arithmetic that turns them into a date.

From *How to Own Intelligence* by Mac Anderson. Canonical page: https://macanderson.com/research/how-to-own-intelligence/data-volume-worksheet

Fill in the first four lines from your own team. The rest is arithmetic.

```text
A  sessions per day                   = engineers × sessions each       = ____
B  oracle share                       = fraction of sessions on tasks
                                        with a hidden test               = ____
C  flip rate per attempt              = measured in week one             = ____
D  attempts per task                  = independent sessions dispatched  = ____

E  oracle tasks per day               = A × B                            = ____
F  chance a task flips at least once  = 1 − (1 − C)^D                    = ____
G  flips per day                      = E × F                            = ____
H  token cost multiplier              = D                                = ____

Days to 500 flips   = 500 / G
Days to 2,000 flips = 2,000 / G
Days to 8,000 flips = 8,000 / G
```

Reference points from Chapter 12: 491 flips moved a 32-billion-parameter model from 7.0 to 20.6 percent on SWE-bench Verified; about 8,000 moved the same base model to 38.0 percent with the gain still growing.